{"id":4262,"date":"2014-11-25T17:31:38","date_gmt":"2014-11-25T22:31:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/rnudo.aliquando.net\/english-the-risk-of-overpricing-in-real-estate\/"},"modified":"2014-11-25T17:31:38","modified_gmt":"2014-11-25T22:31:38","slug":"english-the-risk-of-overpricing-in-real-estate","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/rnudo.ca\/en\/english-the-risk-of-overpricing-in-real-estate\/","title":{"rendered":"The risk of overpricing in Real Estate"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Published on November 24, 2014, at 1:18 p.m.<\/strong> | Updated on November 24, 2014 at <strong>4:03 p.m.<\/strong><\/p>\n<h1>Real estate: risk of overvaluation in Montreal and Quebec City<\/h1>\n<div>\n<p><a title=\"Immobilier: risque de sur\u00e9valuation \u00e0 Montr\u00e9al et \u00e0 Qu\u00e9bec\" href=\"javascript:toggleImage('http:\/\/images.lpcdn.ca\/924x615\/201408\/20\/894903-schl-signale-qua-montreal-nombre.jpg','Immobilier: risque de sur\u00e9valuation \u00e0 Montr\u00e9al et \u00e0 Qu\u00e9bec', 0, 924);\"><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"Immobilier: risque de sur\u00e9valuation \u00e0 Montr\u00e9al et \u00e0 Qu\u00e9bec\" src=\"http:\/\/images.lpcdn.ca\/641x427\/201408\/20\/894903-schl-signale-qua-montreal-nombre.jpg\" alt=\"La SCHL signale qu'\u00e0 Montr\u00e9al, le nombre de... (PHOTO ARCHIVES LA PRESSE)\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<div>\n<p><a title=\"Agrandir\" href=\"javascript:toggleImage('http:\/\/images.lpcdn.ca\/924x615\/201408\/20\/894903-schl-signale-qua-montreal-nombre.jpg','Immobilier: risque de sur\u00e9valuation \u00e0 Montr\u00e9al et \u00e0 Qu\u00e9bec', 0, 924);\">Enlarge<\/a><\/p>\n<p id=\"articleMainImageDesc\">CMHC reports that in Montreal, the number of housing units under construction relative to the number of residents is approaching a \u201chistoric high.\u201d<\/p>\n<p id=\"articleMainImageAuteur\">PHOTO ARCHIVES THE PRESS<\/p>\n<h4><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/static.lpcdn.ca\/lpweb\/img\/actionBox\/logoMaPresse.png\" alt=\"Ma Presse\" \/><\/h4>\n<p><a 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src=\"http:\/\/static.lpcdn.ca\/lpweb\/img\/actionBox\/icoPrint.png\" alt=\"Imprimer la page\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<h3><a title=\"Comparez les meilleurs taux hypoth\u00e9caires au Qu\u00e9bec sur ratehub.ca\" href=\"http:\/\/adserver.adtechus.com\/adlink\/5214\/2380808\/0\/968\/AdId=5143415;BnId=1;itime=954215209;ku=1086168;key=immobilier;nodecode=yes;link=http:\/\/www.ratehub.ca\/meilleurs-taux-hypothecaires-quebec\">Best Mortgage Rates in Quebec<\/a><\/h3>\n<p>Current rate: <strong>November 25, 2014<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a title=\"Voir tous les taux hypoth\u00e9caires \u00e0 Qu\u00e9bec Fixe, 1-An\" href=\"http:\/\/adserver.adtechus.com\/adlink\/5214\/2380808\/0\/968\/AdId=5143415;BnId=1;itime=954215209;ku=1086168;key=immobilier;nodecode=yes;link=http:\/\/www.ratehub.ca\/meilleurs-quebec-taux-hypothecaires\/1-ans\/fixe\" target=\"_blank\">1 an \u2013 Fixe2,60 %<\/a><a title=\"Voir tous les taux hypoth\u00e9caires \u00e0 Qu\u00e9bec Fixe, 3-Ans\" href=\"http:\/\/adserver.adtechus.com\/adlink\/5214\/2380808\/0\/968\/AdId=5143415;BnId=1;itime=954215209;ku=1086168;key=immobilier;nodecode=yes;link=http:\/\/www.ratehub.ca\/meilleurs-quebec-taux-hypothecaires\/3-ans\/fixe\" target=\"_blank\">3 ans \u2013 Fixe2,54 %<\/a><a title=\"Voir tous les taux hypoth\u00e9caires \u00e0 Qu\u00e9bec Fixe, 5-Ans\" href=\"http:\/\/adserver.adtechus.com\/adlink\/5214\/2380808\/0\/968\/AdId=5143415;BnId=1;itime=954215209;ku=1086168;key=immobilier;nodecode=yes;link=http:\/\/www.ratehub.ca\/meilleurs-quebec-taux-hypothecaires\/5-ans\/fixe\" target=\"_blank\">5 ans \u2013 Fixe2,84 %<\/a><a title=\"Voir tous les taux hypoth\u00e9caires \u00e0 Qu\u00e9bec Fixe, 10-Ans\" href=\"http:\/\/adserver.adtechus.com\/adlink\/5214\/2380808\/0\/968\/AdId=5143415;BnId=1;itime=954215209;ku=1086168;key=immobilier;nodecode=yes;link=http:\/\/www.ratehub.ca\/meilleurs-quebec-taux-hypothecaires\/10-ans\/fixe\" target=\"_blank\">10 ans \u2013 Fixe3,65 %<\/a><a title=\"Voir tous les taux hypoth\u00e9caires \u00e0 Qu\u00e9bec Variable, 3-Ans\" href=\"http:\/\/adserver.adtechus.com\/adlink\/5214\/2380808\/0\/968\/AdId=5143415;BnId=1;itime=954215209;ku=1086168;key=immobilier;nodecode=yes;link=http:\/\/www.ratehub.ca\/meilleurs-quebec-taux-hypothecaires\/3-ans\/variable\" target=\"_blank\">3 ans \u2013 Variable2,40 %<\/a><a title=\"Voir tous les taux hypoth\u00e9caires \u00e0 Qu\u00e9bec Variable, 5-Ans\" href=\"http:\/\/adserver.adtechus.com\/adlink\/5214\/2380808\/0\/968\/AdId=5143415;BnId=1;itime=954215209;ku=1086168;key=immobilier;nodecode=yes;link=http:\/\/www.ratehub.ca\/meilleurs-quebec-taux-hypothecaires\/5-ans\/variable\" target=\"_blank\">5 ans \u2013 Variable2,30 %<\/a><br \/>\n<a title=\"Comparez les taux hypoth\u00e9caires \u00e0 Qu\u00e9bec sur ratehub.ca\" href=\"http:\/\/adserver.adtechus.com\/adlink\/5214\/2380808\/0\/968\/AdId=5143415;BnId=1;itime=954215209;ku=1086168;key=immobilier;nodecode=yes;link=http:\/\/www.ratehub.ca\/meilleurs-taux-hypothecaires-quebec\">Plus de taux<\/a><a title=\"R\u00e9f\u00e9rence en Hypoth\u00e8ques au Canada: ratehub.ca\/blogue-hypoth\u00e9caire\" href=\"http:\/\/adserver.adtechus.com\/adlink\/5214\/2380808\/0\/968\/AdId=5143415;BnId=1;itime=954215209;ku=1086168;key=immobilier;nodecode=yes;link=http:\/\/www.ratehub.ca\/hypotheque\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.ratehub.ca\/images\/logo-small-right.png\" alt=\"[small-rates-logo-alt]\" border=\"0\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><noscript>&amp;amp;amp;lt;a href=&#8221;http:\/\/adserver.adtechus.com\/adlink\/3.0\/5214.1\/2377875\/0\/-1\/ADTECH;alias=la_presse_affaires_economie_160x90_1;key=immobilier;size=160&#215;90;loc=100;rdclick=&#8221; target=&#8221;_blank&#8221;&amp;amp;amp;gt;&amp;amp;amp;lt;img src=&#8221;http:\/\/adserver.adtechus.com\/adserv\/3.0\/5214.1\/2377875\/0\/-1\/ADTECH;loc=100;alias=la_presse_affaires_economie_160x90_1;key=immobilier;size=160&#215;90&#8243; border=&#8221;0&#8243; width=&#8221;160&#8243; height=&#8221;90&#8243;&amp;amp;amp;gt;&amp;amp;amp;lt;\/a&amp;amp;amp;gt;<\/noscript><\/div>\n<h4>See also<\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li class=\"&quot;first&quot;\"><a title=\"Hausse de l'indice du prix des maisons Teranet-Banque Nationale en octobre\" href=\"http:\/\/affaires.lapresse.ca\/economie\/immobilier\/201411\/12\/01-4818293-hausse-de-lindice-du-prix-des-maisons-teranet-banque-nationale-en-octobre.php\">Teranet-National Bank House Price Index rises in October<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a title=\"Montr\u00e9al, \u00abune locomotive\u00bb pour les r\u00e9gions du Qu\u00e9bec\" href=\"http:\/\/affaires.lapresse.ca\/economie\/quebec\/201411\/11\/01-4817733-montreal-une-locomotive-pour-les-regions-du-quebec.php\">Montreal, a \u201cdriving force\u201d for Quebec&#8217;s regions<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a title=\"Les ventes de maisons existantes en baisse au Canada\" href=\"http:\/\/affaires.lapresse.ca\/economie\/immobilier\/201410\/15\/01-4809423-les-ventes-de-maisons-existantes-en-baisse-au-canada.php\">Existing home sales down in Canada<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a title=\"Il faut r\u00e9activer la locomotive\" href=\"http:\/\/affaires.lapresse.ca\/opinions\/chroniques\/jean-philippe-decarie\/201411\/13\/01-4818458-il-faut-reactiver-la-locomotive.php\">We need to reactivate the locomotive<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a title=\"Entrepreneuriat: un cancre nomm\u00e9 Montr\u00e9al\" href=\"http:\/\/affaires.lapresse.ca\/pme\/201410\/29\/01-4813691-entrepreneuriat-un-cancre-nomme-montreal.php\">Entrepreneurship: a failure called Montreal<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h4>Related topics<\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li class=\"&quot;first&quot;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/recherche.lapresse.ca\/cyberpresse\/search\/theme\/lapresseaffaires\/?q=Soci%C3%A9t%C3%A9+canadienne+d%27hypoth%C3%A8ques+et+de+logement\">Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 canadienne d&#8217;hypoth\u00e8ques et de logement<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/recherche.lapresse.ca\/cyberpresse\/search\/theme\/lapresseaffaires\/?q=Taux+d%27int%C3%A9r%C3%AAt\">Taux d&#8217;int\u00e9r\u00eat<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/recherche.lapresse.ca\/cyberpresse\/search\/theme\/lapresseaffaires\/?q=Financement\">Financement<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Julien Arsenault<\/strong><br \/>\nThe Canadian Press<\/p>\n<p>Unlike the rest of the country, the risk of overvaluation in the real estate markets is \u201cparticularly evident\u201d in Montreal and Quebec City, but the situation is improving, according to the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC).<\/p>\n<p>In its Housing Price Analysis and Evaluation (HPE) framework, the results of which were released on Monday, the organization estimates that a \u201cmoderate risk\u201d looms over these two cities, particularly because the growth in the number of homeowners has slowed since 2012.<\/p>\n<p>CMHC reports that in the metropolis, the number of homes under construction relative to the number of inhabitants is approaching a \u201chistoric high,\u201d which calls for better management of the current situation.<\/p>\n<p>The supply of new properties is also high relative to the number of inhabitants in Quebec City, but the organization believes that it remains within \u201chistorical norms.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIn Montreal and Quebec City, the risk of overvaluation reflects a slowdown in the growth of the 25-35 age group observed since 2012,\u201d the Corporation points out.<\/p>\n<p>According to the organization, this situation is also attributable to the growth in disposable income, which has not kept pace with housing prices since the early 2000s in these two locations.<\/p>\n<p>CMHC Chief Economist Bob Dugan also uses this analysis to issue a warning about excessive construction in Montreal and Toronto.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIf these homes are completed but not sold, it could result in overbuilding,\u201d he points out. \u201cBuilders will need to direct new demand in appropriate proportions to homes currently under construction but not yet sold.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>A moderate risk of overvaluation is also observed in Toronto, Calgary, and Halifax, but no overheating or acceleration is noted, CMHC points out.<\/p>\n<p>The results of its analysis include those for the Canadian market and eight census metropolitan areas: Montreal, Quebec City, Vancouver, Calgary, Edmonton, Toronto, Ottawa, and Halifax.<\/p>\n<p>Nationally, CMHC notes \u201cmodest overvaluation,\u201d although most markets remain in line with factors such as employment and interest rates.<\/p>\n<p>From January to September, prices in transactions completed through the Multiple Listing Service (better known by its acronym MLS) fell by 1% in Quebec City, but rose in Montreal (1.9%), Vancouver (6.3%) and Toronto (6.9%).<\/p>\n<p>In a research note published last week, CMHC suggested, based on indicators such as inflation and exchange rates, that property prices in Canada would remain higher than in the United States.<\/p>\n<p>The organization believed that this could indicate that prices in Canada may be overvalued.<\/p>\n<p>Concerns about the Canadian real estate market are at the top of the list for many economists and policymakers, who want to avoid a crash like the one that occurred south of the border during the most recent financial crisis.<\/p>\n<p>However, Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz and Federal Finance Minister Joe Oliver have attempted to allay these fears in recent months.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Published on November 24, 2014, at 1:18 p.m. | Updated on November 24, 2014 at 4:03 p.m. Real estate: risk of overvaluation in Montreal and Quebec City Enlarge CMHC reports that in Montreal, the number of housing units under construction relative to the number of residents is approaching a \u201chistoric high.\u201d PHOTO ARCHIVES THE PRESS [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":18,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[247],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4262","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>The risk of overpricing in Real Estate - Raffaele Nudo<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/rnudo.ca\/en\/english-the-risk-of-overpricing-in-real-estate\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta 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